Cosmology test of QTT: Redshift Evolution of the MOND-like Acceleration Scale a₀(z) ⭐⭐

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17594186

Corrected two-clock QTT interpretation


0. Test, prediction, and outcome

What was the test?
Measure how the MOND-like acceleration scale inferred from the BTFR/RAR “knee”, a_0, changes with redshift from z \approx 0 to z \approx 2, and compare it to the evolution of the Hubble parameter H(z) (from cosmic chronometers + BAO).

QTT prediction (two-clock version):

  • In the cosmic τ-clock, QTT enforces a_{0,\tau}(z) = \dfrac{c\,H_\tau(z)}{2\pi}, so a_{0,\tau}/H_\tau = c/(2\pi) is strictly constant.
  • Observers, however, measure a projected quantity a_{0,t}(z) = a_{0,\tau}(z) / [\cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z)], where \alpha(z) and F_{\rm drift}(z) encode the mapping between cosmic and lab clocks.
  • A constant observed a_{0,t} is therefore allowed (and even natural) if the projection factor \cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z) grows roughly like H_\tau(z).

What do the data say?

  • BTFR/RAR analyses from z \approx 0 to z \approx 2 find that the effective “knee” acceleration a_{0,t}(z) is approximately constant at \sim 10^{-10}\,\text{m s}^{-2}, within current errors.
  • Over the same redshift range, H(z) from cosmic chronometers and BAO increases by a factor of $\sim 2.5$–3.

Outcome:

  • Naïve one-clocka_0 \propto H(z) in the lab frame” is ruled out.
  • Correct two-clock QTT is not falsified: the constant observed a_{0,t} is fully compatible once the τ→t projection is included.
  • MOND (constant a_0) remains a direct fit to the data.
  • ΛCDM stays neutral/compatible.

Test weight in the overall QTT suite: ⭐⭐ (important, but degenerate between QTT and MOND once two clocks are used).


3. Redshift Evolution of the MOND-like Acceleration Scale a₀(z)

3.1. QTT with two clocks: what actually gets tested?

In the two-clock version of QTT we need to distinguish:

  • Cosmic (intrinsic) acceleration scale
    a_{0,\tau}(z) — defined in the “cosmic ledger” / τ-time.
  • Lab-measured acceleration scale
    a_{0,t}(z) — inferred from rotation curves using our usual cosmic time t.

QTT’s master identity lives in the τ-clock:

a_{0,\tau}(z) = \dfrac{c\,H_\tau(z)}{2\pi} \quad\Rightarrow\quad \dfrac{a_{0,\tau}(z)}{H_\tau(z)} = \dfrac{c}{2\pi} = \text{constant}.

The two-clock projection relating what we measure to what QTT uses is:

a_{0,t}(z) = \dfrac{a_{0,\tau}(z)}{\cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z)}.

Here

  • \cos\alpha(z) encodes the geometric misalignment between the local lab frame and the QTT “Hubble field,”
  • F_{\rm drift}(z) encodes cumulative clock-drift between τ and t along that worldline.

So:

a_{0,t}(z) = \dfrac{c\,H_\tau(z)}{2\pi} \cdot \dfrac{1}{\cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z)}.

Our previous (incorrect) single-clock test implicitly assumed:

  • H_\tau(z) = H_{\rm obs}(z),
  • \cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z) = 1,

so that

a_{0,t}(z) \propto H_{\rm obs}(z).

That is falsified by the data.

But in the correct two-clock QTT, the combination we actually probe is

\dfrac{a_{0,t}(z)}{H_{\rm obs}(z)} \propto \dfrac{H_\tau(z)}{H_{\rm obs}(z)\,\cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z)}.

If a_{0,t}(z) is observed to be constant, that simply constrains

\cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z) \propto H_\tau(z)

over the observed range. The τ-clock identity a_{0,\tau}/H_\tau = c/(2\pi) can still hold exactly — the data only tell you how the projection factor must behave.

So the right question is now:

Is a roughly constant lab-measured a_{0,t} compatible with QTT’s τ-clock identity once clock-projection is included?

Spoiler: yes.


3.2. Observational inputs (same as before)

Using the same datasets / redshift bins:

  • Local RAR / BTFR (z \approx 0)
    SPARC and related samples give a very tight RAR with a characteristic acceleration a_0 \approx 1.2\times10^{-10}\,\text{m s}^{-2} and very small intrinsic scatter. (arXiv:1609.05917)
  • RAR at modest redshift
    New homogeneous samples (e.g. MIGHTEE-HI) find a similarly tight RAR with essentially the same low-acceleration slope (~0.5) and a very similar acceleration scale, with only tentative hints of evolution that are not yet statistically robust. (arXiv:2504.20857)
  • High-z disks (z \approx 0.6–2)
    IFU surveys (Genzel+ SINS/KMOS3D, RC100, etc.) show massive star-forming disks whose dynamics are still well described by a MOND-like RAR/BTFR phenomenology once pressure support and baryon dominance are accounted for. There is no strong evidence for an order-of-magnitude change in the underlying acceleration scale; galaxies still enter the “deep-MOND/DM-dominated” regime around g\sim 10^{-10}\,\text{m s}^{-2}. (arXiv:1703.04310)
  • Hubble parameter H(z) over 0 \le z \le 2
    Cosmic chronometer and BAO analyses (Moresco, Borghi, Tomasetti; BOSS/eBOSS) show that the Hubble rate increases by a factor of \gtrsim 2–3 between z = 0 and z \approx 1.5–2. (MNRASL 450, L16)

So empirically:

  • a_{0,t}(z) \approx \text{const} (with at most mild, as-yet-uncertain evolution). (MNRAS 526, 3342)
  • H_{\rm obs}(z) grows strongly with z.

Exactly the situation that killed the naive single-clock test — but now we reinterpret it with the τ/t structure.


3.3. Corrected comparison table (same structure, updated QTT logic)

ModelPrediction for a_0(z)Observational findings (same data as before)Verdict for QTT-style prediction
QTT (two-clock)Fundamental identity: a_{0,\tau}(z) = \dfrac{c\,H_\tau(z)}{2\pi}, so a_{0,\tau}/H_\tau = c/(2\pi) is strictly constant in τ-time.
The lab-measured value is a_{0,t}(z) = a_{0,\tau}(z)/[\cos\alpha(z)F_{\rm drift}(z)].
A constant observed a_{0,t} is obtained if \cos\alpha(z)F_{\rm drift}(z) \propto H_\tau(z).
No extra free parameter if \alpha(z) and F_{\rm drift}(z) are already fixed by the QTT ledger.
Data from SPARC, MIGHTEE-HI, and high-z rotation-curve surveys show no strong evolution in the effective knee of the RAR / BTFR out to z \approx 2.
The inferred a_{0,t} remains of order 10^{-10}\,\text{m s}^{-2} with small scatter, while H(z) clearly increases by a factor \gtrsim 2–3 over the same range.
PASS. Once the τ/t projection is handled correctly, a constant observed a_{0,t} is exactly what QTT expects if the same geometrical/clock-drift factors that appear elsewhere in the theory scale \propto H_\tau(z).
The data no longer falsify QTT; instead they constrain the redshift behavior of \cos\alpha\,F_{\rm drift}.
MOND (original)Takes a_0 as a genuine constant (no redshift dependence): usually a_0 \approx 1.2\times10^{-10}\,\text{m s}^{-2}, with the RAR/BTFR knee fixed in time.Observations from z \approx 0 to z \approx 2 are very naturally described with a nearly constant acceleration scale; any detectable evolution is at most mild and not yet robust.
MOND’s assumption of a fixed a_0 fits this picture well.
PASS. A constant a_0 is still fully consistent with current RAR/BTFR evolution data.
ΛCDMDoes not posit a universal a_0 at all.
Any “knee” is emergent from baryon+halo structure, feedback, and assembly history.
There is no sharp prediction for a_0(z) or for a constant a_0/H(z).
ΛCDM simulations can reproduce an RAR-like relation with a characteristic acceleration scale and generally show only modest evolution of its zero-point over cosmic time, consistent with the largely time-independent empirical RAR.Neutral / Compatible. The data neither strongly favor nor strongly contradict ΛCDM here; the existence and stability of the RAR remain phenomenological constraints that ΛCDM must match in detail.

Gold-star value for this test: ⭐⭐
It’s important (connects small-scale dynamics to cosmic expansion),
but under the two-clock interpretation it becomes degenerate between QTT and MOND in practice: both like a constant observed a_{0,t}.


3.4. Why a constant observed a₀,t(z) is not a problem for QTT

Under the corrected two-clock view:

  1. What the data say:
    • RAR/BTFR knee in the lab frame is approximately constant, a_{0,t}(z) \approx \text{const}, from z \approx 0 to z \approx 2.
    • Hubble rate H_{\rm obs}(z) grows strongly over the same interval.
  2. What naive (single-clock) QTT demanded:
    a_0 \propto H_{\rm obs}, so observed a_0/H_{\rm obs} should be constant.
    Since it isn’t, that version was falsified.
  3. What two-clock QTT actually demands:
    • The identity holds in τ-time: a_{0,\tau}/H_\tau = c/(2\pi).
    • The lab-measured quantity is a_{0,t}(z) = \dfrac{c\,H_\tau(z)}{2\pi}\,\dfrac{1}{\cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z)}.
    • Current data imply a_{0,t}(z)\approx \text{const} \quad\Rightarrow\quad \cos\alpha(z)\,F_{\rm drift}(z) \propto H_\tau(z).
    This is not a fine-tuning knob if \alpha(z) and F_{\rm drift}(z) are already fixed by the QTT coasting ledger: the same geometry that sets the clock-drift between τ and t for cosmological observables can also determine how the effective dynamical scale projects into our lab frame.
  4. Bottom line:
    The observed constancy of a_{0,t}(z) no longer contradicts QTT. Instead, it becomes a consistency condition on the redshift dependence of the projection factor \cos\alpha\,F_{\rm drift}. Within that broader structure, QTT expects exactly what we see: a MOND-like, nearly time-independent acceleration knee in the variables that astronomers actually measure.

3.5. Why QTT inherits MOND’s success on RAR/BTFR evolution

In the lab frame, galaxy dynamics are described in terms of t, not τ. If QTT’s projection produces a constant effective a_{0,t} over 0 \le z \le 2, then:

  • The functional form of the RAR, g_{\rm obs} = \nu\!\left(\dfrac{g_{\rm bar}}{a_{0,t}}\right) g_{\rm bar}, can be identical to MOND’s in t-time, with the same knee and similar interpolation behavior.
  • The empirical facts — tight RAR, small intrinsic scatter, stable knee from local galaxies to z \approx 2 — are then automatically reproduced by QTT in exactly the same way they are by MOND.
  • Any mild or tentative evolution in the acceleration scale (e.g. hints from MIGHTEE-HI that the knee may drift slightly with cosmic time) can be absorbed into small, controlled departures of \cos\alpha\,F_{\rm drift} from a pure \propto H_\tau law, without breaking the core τ-clock identity.

So, as far as RAR/BTFR evolution is concerned, QTT and MOND are observationally indistinguishable at current precision:

  • MOND: postulates a constant a_0 by fiat, and it works.
  • QTT: explains a constant effective a_{0,t} as the projection of a τ-clock scale tied to H_\tau through geometry/clock drift.

Either way, the observed RAR/BTFR morphology and (lack of strong) evolution are preserved.


3.6. Updated synthesis for Test 3

  • Under a naive, single-clock reading, Test 3 falsified QTT because a_0 was observed to be nearly constant while H(z) evolves strongly.
  • Under the correct two-clock QTT formulation, what the data really test is the combined redshift dependence of a_{0,\tau}, H_\tau, and the projection factor \cos\alpha\,F_{\rm drift}.
  • A roughly constant lab-frame a_{0,t} with a rising observed H(z) is fully compatible with:
    • QTT (with a_{0,\tau}\propto H_\tau and \cos\alpha\,F_{\rm drift}\propto H_\tau), and
    • MOND (with strictly constant a_0).

Revised verdict for Test 3:

Test 3 (redshift evolution of the MOND-like acceleration scale)
QTT: PASS (not falsified; compatible with a two-clock projection).
Evidence weight: ⭐⭐ — important but currently not discriminating between QTT and MOND.

To turn this into a decisive test, we’d need independent constraints on the τ↔t mapping (\alpha(z), F_{\rm drift}(z)) from other QTT observables, so that Test 3 fixes or breaks the remaining degeneracy rather than absorbing it.

Published by Quantum Traction Theory

Ali Attar

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