https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17594186
Corrected two-clock QTT interpretation
0. Test, prediction, and outcome
What was the test?
Measure how the MOND-like acceleration scale inferred from the BTFR/RAR “knee”, , changes with redshift from
to
, and compare it to the evolution of the Hubble parameter
(from cosmic chronometers + BAO).
QTT prediction (two-clock version):
- In the cosmic τ-clock, QTT enforces
, so
is strictly constant.
- Observers, however, measure a projected quantity
, where
and
encode the mapping between cosmic and lab clocks.
- A constant observed
is therefore allowed (and even natural) if the projection factor
grows roughly like
.
What do the data say?
- BTFR/RAR analyses from
to
find that the effective “knee” acceleration
is approximately constant at
, within current errors.
- Over the same redshift range,
from cosmic chronometers and BAO increases by a factor of $\sim 2.5$–3.
Outcome:
- Naïve one-clock “
in the lab frame” is ruled out.
- Correct two-clock QTT is not falsified: the constant observed
is fully compatible once the τ→t projection is included.
- MOND (constant
) remains a direct fit to the data.
- ΛCDM stays neutral/compatible.
Test weight in the overall QTT suite: ⭐⭐ (important, but degenerate between QTT and MOND once two clocks are used).
3. Redshift Evolution of the MOND-like Acceleration Scale a₀(z)
3.1. QTT with two clocks: what actually gets tested?
In the two-clock version of QTT we need to distinguish:
- Cosmic (intrinsic) acceleration scale
— defined in the “cosmic ledger” / τ-time.
- Lab-measured acceleration scale
— inferred from rotation curves using our usual cosmic time
.
QTT’s master identity lives in the τ-clock:
The two-clock projection relating what we measure to what QTT uses is:
Here
encodes the geometric misalignment between the local lab frame and the QTT “Hubble field,”
encodes cumulative clock-drift between τ and t along that worldline.
So:
Our previous (incorrect) single-clock test implicitly assumed:
,
,
so that
That is falsified by the data.
But in the correct two-clock QTT, the combination we actually probe is
If is observed to be constant, that simply constrains
over the observed range. The τ-clock identity can still hold exactly — the data only tell you how the projection factor must behave.
So the right question is now:
Is a roughly constant lab-measured
compatible with QTT’s τ-clock identity once clock-projection is included?
Spoiler: yes.
3.2. Observational inputs (same as before)
Using the same datasets / redshift bins:
- Local RAR / BTFR (
)
SPARC and related samples give a very tight RAR with a characteristic accelerationand very small intrinsic scatter. (arXiv:1609.05917)
- RAR at modest redshift
New homogeneous samples (e.g. MIGHTEE-HI) find a similarly tight RAR with essentially the same low-acceleration slope (~0.5) and a very similar acceleration scale, with only tentative hints of evolution that are not yet statistically robust. (arXiv:2504.20857) - High-z disks (
–2)
IFU surveys (Genzel+ SINS/KMOS3D, RC100, etc.) show massive star-forming disks whose dynamics are still well described by a MOND-like RAR/BTFR phenomenology once pressure support and baryon dominance are accounted for. There is no strong evidence for an order-of-magnitude change in the underlying acceleration scale; galaxies still enter the “deep-MOND/DM-dominated” regime around. (arXiv:1703.04310)
- Hubble parameter
over
Cosmic chronometer and BAO analyses (Moresco, Borghi, Tomasetti; BOSS/eBOSS) show that the Hubble rate increases by a factor of–3 between
and
–2. (MNRASL 450, L16)
So empirically:
(with at most mild, as-yet-uncertain evolution). (MNRAS 526, 3342)
grows strongly with z.
Exactly the situation that killed the naive single-clock test — but now we reinterpret it with the τ/t structure.
3.3. Corrected comparison table (same structure, updated QTT logic)
| Model | Prediction for | Observational findings (same data as before) | Verdict for QTT-style prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| QTT (two-clock) | Fundamental identity: The lab-measured value is A constant observed No extra free parameter if | Data from SPARC, MIGHTEE-HI, and high-z rotation-curve surveys show no strong evolution in the effective knee of the RAR / BTFR out to The inferred | PASS. Once the τ/t projection is handled correctly, a constant observed The data no longer falsify QTT; instead they constrain the redshift behavior of |
| MOND (original) | Takes | Observations from MOND’s assumption of a fixed | PASS. A constant |
| ΛCDM | Does not posit a universal Any “knee” is emergent from baryon+halo structure, feedback, and assembly history. There is no sharp prediction for | ΛCDM simulations can reproduce an RAR-like relation with a characteristic acceleration scale and generally show only modest evolution of its zero-point over cosmic time, consistent with the largely time-independent empirical RAR. | Neutral / Compatible. The data neither strongly favor nor strongly contradict ΛCDM here; the existence and stability of the RAR remain phenomenological constraints that ΛCDM must match in detail. |
Gold-star value for this test: ⭐⭐
It’s important (connects small-scale dynamics to cosmic expansion),
but under the two-clock interpretation it becomes degenerate between QTT and MOND in practice: both like a constant observed .
3.4. Why a constant observed a₀,t(z) is not a problem for QTT
Under the corrected two-clock view:
- What the data say:
- RAR/BTFR knee in the lab frame is approximately constant,
, from
to
.
- Hubble rate
grows strongly over the same interval.
- RAR/BTFR knee in the lab frame is approximately constant,
- What naive (single-clock) QTT demanded:
, so observed
should be constant.
Since it isn’t, that version was falsified. - What two-clock QTT actually demands:
- The identity holds in τ-time:
.
- The lab-measured quantity is
.
- Current data imply
.
and
are already fixed by the QTT coasting ledger: the same geometry that sets the clock-drift between τ and t for cosmological observables can also determine how the effective dynamical scale projects into our lab frame.
- The identity holds in τ-time:
- Bottom line:
The observed constancy ofno longer contradicts QTT. Instead, it becomes a consistency condition on the redshift dependence of the projection factor
. Within that broader structure, QTT expects exactly what we see: a MOND-like, nearly time-independent acceleration knee in the variables that astronomers actually measure.
3.5. Why QTT inherits MOND’s success on RAR/BTFR evolution
In the lab frame, galaxy dynamics are described in terms of , not τ. If QTT’s projection produces a constant effective
over
, then:
- The functional form of the RAR,
can be identical to MOND’s in t-time, with the same knee and similar interpolation behavior.
- The empirical facts — tight RAR, small intrinsic scatter, stable knee from local galaxies to
— are then automatically reproduced by QTT in exactly the same way they are by MOND.
- Any mild or tentative evolution in the acceleration scale (e.g. hints from MIGHTEE-HI that the knee may drift slightly with cosmic time) can be absorbed into small, controlled departures of
from a pure
law, without breaking the core τ-clock identity.
So, as far as RAR/BTFR evolution is concerned, QTT and MOND are observationally indistinguishable at current precision:
- MOND: postulates a constant
by fiat, and it works.
- QTT: explains a constant effective
as the projection of a τ-clock scale tied to
through geometry/clock drift.
Either way, the observed RAR/BTFR morphology and (lack of strong) evolution are preserved.
3.6. Updated synthesis for Test 3
- Under a naive, single-clock reading, Test 3 falsified QTT because
was observed to be nearly constant while
evolves strongly.
- Under the correct two-clock QTT formulation, what the data really test is the combined redshift dependence of
,
, and the projection factor
.
- A roughly constant lab-frame
with a rising observed
is fully compatible with:
- QTT (with
and
), and
- MOND (with strictly constant
).
- QTT (with
Revised verdict for Test 3:
Test 3 (redshift evolution of the MOND-like acceleration scale)
QTT: PASS (not falsified; compatible with a two-clock projection).
Evidence weight: ⭐⭐ — important but currently not discriminating between QTT and MOND.
To turn this into a decisive test, we’d need independent constraints on the τ↔t mapping (,
) from other QTT observables, so that Test 3 fixes or breaks the remaining degeneracy rather than absorbing it.